Unscheduled update of the 2026 risk map | March 2026
The crisis experts at TRISAVO – specialists in holistic travel risk management – have unexpectedly updated their renowned risk map.
The 2026 Risk Map provides internationally active companies and business travelers with clear guidance on security-relevant developments worldwide. The analysts' assessments are based on the continuous monitoring of political, economic, and social dynamics in all regions of the world.
The background to this is recent geopolitical developments, particularly in the Middle East, but also political tensions in other regions of the world.
Near and Middle East – the most significant changes
The most significant changes concern the Middle East. Following the Israeli attacks on targets in Iran, the security situation in several countries of the Gulf region has noticeably deteriorated.
Israel — from Level 3 (Yellow) to Level 4 (Orange) upgraded
Jordan — from Level 3 (Yellow) to Level 4 (Orange) Iranian drones and missiles have been repeatedly intercepted in Jordan's airspace.
Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, United Arab Emirates - on Level 4 (Orange) Attacks have increased in several Gulf states in connection with the current military escalation. Dubai, in particular, is increasingly in the spotlight.
Saudi Arabia — from Level 3 (Yellow) to Level 4 (Orange) Upgraded (certain regions) The effects of the current military escalation are concentrated in certain regions of the country.
Oman — nationwide Level 4 (Orange) raised
Iran — unchanged Level 5 (Red) Iran remains at the highest risk level on the risk map.
Iraq — Very high security risks persist. Particularly in the north and northeast of the country, very high security risks persist.
Other world regions – an overview of adjustments
Cyprus — from Level 2 (Light Green) to Level 3 (Yellow) Upgraded: Due to increasing security tensions in the region, the security situation has deteriorated moderately as a result of regional escalation.
Cuba — from Level 2 (Light Green) to Level 3 (Yellow) Raised due to the tightening of the US economic blockade and increasing supply shortages in the country. Initial protests underscore the growing domestic political tensions.
Greenland — from Level 1 (Dark Green) to Level 2 (Light Green) Initial assessment – Geopolitical tensions related to territorial claims by the United States against Denmark have led to a slight downgrade. The overall situation remains stable.
Basis for risk classification
The risk classification is composed of the following safety categories:
- crime
- Demonstration / Unrest
- terrorism
- Armed conflict
The TRISAVO risk classifications They offer an initial overview of the conditions in different countries. The scale ranges from dark green for stable conditions to dark red for regions with significantly increased risk. This provides companies with a structured introduction to planning international activities and can corresponding Precautionary measures derive.
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